Forecasting Bitcoin’s Price Using Annualized Rates Of Return (AAR)

At Bitcoin 2024 in Nashville, Saylor mentioned a 29% AAR as a base case. Using AAR is a simple way to project forward. To do this, let’s start with Bitcoin’s price on August 1, 2024, as our baseline. Then, we will assume different rates of return per year to see how the price evolves. So here is a …