Why Markus Thielen Says Bitcoin's Pain Isn't Over Yet

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On today's Markets Outlook, 10x Research Founder and CEO Markus Thielen tells CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie why he sees Bitcoin dropping even more before recovery, with $7B in ETF outflows since mid-May and MicroStrategy stepping back as the last real buyer. Plus, why he stays bearish on Ethereum, why he's calling Hyperliquid overvalued, and why nothing turns around until the Fed goes dovish. - Timecodes: 00:00 Bitcoin Could Dip to $46K Before Year-End Rally 01:20 Bitcoin Falls Below $60K: What's Driving the Selloff? 02:37 $4.5B in ETF Outflows, Saylor's Bitcoin Sale, and Missing Catalysts 03:14 Why the Genius Act and CLARITY Weren't Real Catalysts 05:00 When Does the Fed Turn Dovish? The Macro Case for a Rally 05:19 Kevin Warsh Nomination Was the Turning Point for Bitcoin 07:27 Why Bitcoin Could Break Below $50K to $46–47K 09:41 The 2022 Parallel: Grayscale's SEC Win as the Sentiment Shift 11:06 Brand New Rails: Securitize Lists on NYSE 12:40 Where Does Bitcoin End the Year? 13:51 Why Markus Is Still Bearish on Ethereum 15:20 Stablecoin Activity Isn't Accruing to ETH Holders 16:40 The Bull Case for ETH Has Broken Down 17:28 Hyperliquid Overvalued at $72? 18:33 Why HYPE Is Unlikely to Reach $100 19:46 What to Do Now: Covered Calls, Shorts, and Watching for the Low - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at realfi.co. - Ledn provides a secure and transparent way to access liquidity while maintaining your bitcoin holdings. Perfect 8 year track record of keeping clients assets safe. Don't sell your bitcoin. Get a bitcoin-backed loan. Check out your rate by using their loan calculator at ledn.io - JPEG Trading is a global proprietary trading firm specializing in cryptocurrency and decentralized finance markets. From market structure and liquidity provision to quantitative trading strategies, JPEG Trading operates across the full spectrum of blockchain-based assets. Follow @jpegtrading on X to stay ahead of the latest developments in digital asset markets: https://x.com/jpegtrading - #cryptocurrency #digitalfinance #finance #bitcoin #crypto Subscribe to CoinDesk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/CoinDesk?sub_confirmation=1 CoinDesk is the leading digital media, events and information services company for the crypto asset and blockchain technology community. Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/coindesk LinkedIn: https://www.din.com/company/coindesk Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/coindesk Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CoinDesk Newsletters: https://www.coindesk.com/newsletters CoinDesk Podcast Network: https://open.spotify.com/show/2jyIhkvAQhed8AWDZiPpSP Public Keys: https://open.spotify.com/show/1rqYzRV10nfKfoTpFXZhTE Markets Daily Crypto Roundup: https://open.spotify.com/show/7sDXM8BlxsUqzL2IqmLqwE The Policy Protocol: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Fh8ffulAWcCqMu0uVuwoj
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