“World’s First” Trump Prediction Market Product Killed, What Happened to Truth Predict?

Trump Media has scaled back plans to embed a native prediction-market engine inside Truth Social, opting instead for a marketing arrangement that steers users toward Crypto.com’s existing event-contract platform.

The retreat lands ten months after Trump Media billed Truth Predict as a category-defining product, and it forces a blunt question: how much operating exposure was a Trump-linked platform ever willing to carry inside a market regulators still can’t agree on how to police.

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Trump Prediction Market: From “World’s First” to a Marketing Deal

The original October 28, 2025 announcement was unambiguous. Trump Media said Truth Social would become the first social media platform to offer embedded prediction markets, built through an exclusive arrangement with Crypto.com | Derivatives North America (CDNA), a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse.

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