Crypto Bettors Give Democrats 51% Odds to Sweep the Midterms

NewsWed, 02 Sep 2026 03:58:00 UTC2 hours ago
Crypto Bettors Give Democrats 51% Odds to Sweep the Midterms

Cryptocurrency-based prediction platform Polymarket now gives Democrats better-than-even odds of sweeping both chambers of Congress in November. Trump's approval ratings are sliding, and gas prices just hit a fresh record.

The odds have moved fast. A Democratic sweep sat at just 26% a year ago and 45% one month ago.

Democrats Gain Ground as Trump's Support Slides

Polymarket's 2026 midterms market, called Balance of Power, puts the odds of a Democratic sweep at 51%. The House looks decided, with Democrats holding 89% odds. The Senate is closer, with Democrats at 51%.

Democrats are favored by Polymarket bettors to sweep the House. Image Source: Polymarket

Republicans currently control both chambers of Congress. Elections are set for Nov. 3.

Trump's Approval Rating Drops for A Number of Reasons

The shift tracks Trump's sliding approval. Some surveys put his support as low as 32% to 34%.

A Financial Times and FocalData poll found most Americans say their finances have worsened under Trump. A majority of independents agreed.

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