Bitcoin price reaction stays firm at $78,623 despite Iran strikes, Fed hawkish pivot

Bitcoin’s price reaction to a weekend of escalating violence in the Middle East and a sharply hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve says more about the market’s mood than any single chart could. The cryptocurrency held near $78,623 on Monday, slipping just 0.7% over 24 hours even as fresh U.S. military strikes on Iran sent oil prices surging and knocked equities lower. That kind of composure, against a backdrop that would normally spook risk assets, is exactly why traders and analysts are paying closer attention than usual.
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin traded around $78,623 on Monday, down 0.7% daily but on pace to close August up more than 24%, its best month since 2017.
- Fresh U.S. strikes on Iran pushed West Texas Intermediate crude up 2.6% to about $85.60 a barrel while the S&P 500 fell 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.4%.
- Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks lifted September rate-hike odds to roughly 58%, up from about 35% beforehand.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a nine-day inflow streak as Ethereum funds kept bleeding cash, even though Ether itself traded near $2,448 with a near-30% monthly gain.
- Derivatives volume more than doubled to $183 billion in 24 hours while open interest stayed flat, a sign traders are shuffling positions rather than adding new capital.
Bitcoin’s Strong August Performance Amid Market Turmoil
Bitcoin is heading into month-end with one of its strongest performances in years, even as the macro environment turned hostile almost overnight. According to CoinGecko data cited by Decrypt, the token dipped to an intraday low near $77,162 before recovering to hold around $78,623 on Monday. That’s a modest 0.7% daily decline, but it does little to dent an August that’s on track to close with a gain topping 24% — Bitcoin’s best monthly showing since 2017.
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