Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Hits $80K, Then Falls as Clarity Act Hopes Fade

Bitcoin price is trading below $77,000 after a brief spike toward $80K was erased in a matter of hours, dismantling its bullish prediction. The reversal wasn’t random. It was legislative, and it exposed just how fragile this rally’s foundation really is.

Odds of the Clarity Act passing this year jumped above 30% on Polymarket during Monday’s US session, then collapsed back to 18% by early Tuesday in Asian hours. Bitcoin followed the odds almost tick-for-tick, retreating from an intraday high of $79,500 to below $78,000 within hours.

Senator Mark Warner confirmed Democratic negotiators would send Republicans a counteroffer ahead of Tuesday’s procedural vote. This is a signal the bill isn’t dead, but hardly a signal it’s close to passing either. “That is a market with no stable read,” said BTC Markets analyst Rachael Lucas, referencing prediction-market whiplash that saw signing odds swing from above 70% in May to the low teens by August.

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