Bitcoin Nears Historical Bottom Zone as Two Indicators Align

NewsWed, 29 Jul 2026 13:09:16 UTC8 hours ago
Bitcoin Nears Historical Bottom Zone as Two Indicators Align
  • The four-year Bitcoin cycle model points to a bottom between Oct 6 and Oct 16.
  • LTH to STH realized cap ratio sits at 3.9, nearing the 4.0 bottom signal closely.
  • Neither indicator confirms a bottom, but both point to historically bullish conditions. 

Bitcoin may be entering a historically important phase as two separate market indicators flash signals previously associated with major cycle bottoms. One model identifies a potential bottoming window in October, while another shows long-term holders gaining an increasingly larger share of Bitcoin’s realized capital.

Four-Year Cycle Points to October

The four-year cycle model tracks Bitcoin’s repeated pattern of tops, distribution, bear markets, accumulation, and markup phases. According to analyst Ali Charts, the model points to a possible bottom between October 6 and October 16.

The model has aligned with prio…

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