Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds Crashed From 82% to Under 20%, Does September 15 Save the Bill?

NewsFri, 14 Aug 2026 11:03:51 UTC1 hour ago
Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds Crashed From 82% to Under 20%, Does September 15 Save the Bill?

Polymarket CLARITY Act odds being signed into law this year fell below 20% early this week. The decline followed months of uncertainty over whether the Senate can advance the crypto market-structure legislation.

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Polymarket CLARITY Act Odds: The Recess That Reset The Clock

The Senate adjourned for its August recess without a vote on the bill. Before lawmakers left town, Senate Majority Leader Thune scheduled a vote for September 15, American Banker reported.

American Banker described September 30 as the last clear deadline before Congress turns more fully toward campaigns and partisanship.

The scheduled September vote keeps the bill in play, but negotiations over its remaining provisions have yet to produce a final outcome.

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