Vitalik Buterin Rejects 50% Bitcoin Crash Warning as AI Security Fears Rise

Key Insights:
- Vitalik Buterin says AI is unlikely to break Bitcoin and sees core cryptographic risk as “tiny.”
- Shapira gives a 50% chance that Bitcoin falls by over 50% within two years due to AI risks.
- Buterin says 90% of his net worth is already exposed to crypto, backing his Bitcoin view.
Vitalik Buterin has rejected Liron Shapira’s warning that artificial intelligence could trigger a major Bitcoin crash within two years.
Liron Shapira placed a 50% probability on Bitcoin losing more than half its value during that period. He linked that forecast to AI systems, possibly weakening security protections investors expect from Bitcoin.
Buterin disagreed. He argued that Bitcoin can respond to most technical threats before they become catastrophic.
The dispute is centered on whether AI could reveal weaknesses faster than Bitcoin developers can respond. Shapira believes that more capable systems may discover attack paths before defenders identify and patch them. Buterin, however, considers the probability of such a breakdown extremely low.
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