XRP Price Prediction: Can Ripple Extend Its Biggest Rally Since 2020?

XRP price trades at $1.18 as of this writing, up 18% on the day in a follow-through move that’s keeping the “biggest rally prediction since 2020” narrative alive. But there’s a catch most headlines are skipping over, and it involves where the smart money actually went.

The token jumped 10% on August 19, beating Bitcoin’s 7% gain and finishing third among the eight largest coins during a record-wide short squeeze. Based on XRP’s 180-day correlation with Bitcoin, the move should have produced 6.57% upside, but it delivered 3.83 points more than that. It is a real outperformance, not just a beta ride.

However, spot ETF flows tell a different story: Bitcoin funds pulled in $517 million that day, nearly triple the prior pace, while XRP’s institutional pipes stayed comparatively quiet.

This gap in retail momentum without matching institutional confirmation sets up the next question. Can the chart hold what the squeeze built?

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