SpaceX Stock Prediction: $410 Bull Case or $95 Bear Case by 2031?

NewsWed, 19 Aug 2026 09:24:53 UTC2 hours ago
SpaceX Stock Prediction: $410 Bull Case or $95 Bear Case by 2031?

A new SpaceX valuation prediction from Meta AI sketches out a price path that climbs from $205 in 2027 to as much as $410 by 2031 in its most optimistic reading. However, the same model also warns that a string of Starship failures or regulatory delays could send the valuation tumbling toward $95 to $110 instead, showing just how wide the range of outcomes really is.

Key takeaways

  • Meta AI’s best-case scenario sees SpaceX valuation rising from $205 in 2027 to $410 by 2031.
  • Starlink closed the first quarter with 10.3 million subscribers and revenue up 91.9% year over year.
  • Falcon 9 launches are booked solid through 2028 and 2029, a backlog that gives SpaceX real pricing power.
  • A bear case built around Starship setbacks or FAA delays could keep pushing valuations down to the $95-$110 range.

Meta AI’s SpaceX Valuation Forecast

Meta AI’s forecast hinges on how fast Starlink turns from a subscriber growth story into a stable cash machine, and how smoothly Starship clears its remaining technical and regulatory hurdles. The model lays out a best case and a worst case side by side, which is unusual for a valuation exercise built around a private company.

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